Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.595523 11.239384 13.036048 15.139706 17.529181 20.152707 23.244776
2025-11-16 6.519536 8.661326 11.255508 14.600544 18.767963 23.755247 30.137924
2025-11-23 4.696630 6.925176 9.859746 13.943703 19.406756 26.380937 35.861940
2025-11-30 3.886980 6.243165 9.562717 14.469675 21.404997 30.703586 43.926830
2025-12-07 3.304267 5.727157 9.349581 14.990293 23.343480 35.010960 52.229975
2025-12-14 2.665760 4.983402 8.656371 14.670195 23.979307 37.489997 58.125684
2025-12-21 2.153343 4.331613 7.981803 14.247736 24.354266 39.546590 63.484294
2025-12-28 1.941516 4.151004 8.027409 14.941772 26.467369 44.281331 73.043494
2026-01-04 1.730949 3.929119 7.961650 15.424179 28.258289 48.620070 82.253237
2026-01-11 1.494567 3.609378 7.670432 15.470847 29.312031 51.848100 89.916301
2026-01-18 1.294332 3.321852 7.392105 15.494622 30.304968 55.014321 97.636722
2026-01-25 1.078566 2.954984 6.903920 15.065307 30.450062 56.770059 103.152432
2026-02-01 0.885740 2.610456 6.434253 14.666520 30.708520 58.897839 109.712981
2026-02-08 0.722702 2.299376 5.988614 14.269270 30.954684 61.069468 116.588720
2026-02-15 0.574285 1.982829 5.471289 13.647583 30.698002 62.319186 121.950800
2026-02-22 0.519549 1.907564 5.493221 14.168121 32.714142 67.787580 135.008079
2026-03-01 0.470831 1.836455 5.512036 14.680189 34.751842 73.419964 148.668861
2026-03-08 0.389999 1.641490 5.186191 14.365944 35.052512 75.807079 156.582948
2026-03-15 0.318922 1.453391 4.839954 13.951076 35.088752 77.672118 163.620145
2026-03-22 0.297669 1.432574 4.943220 14.632704 37.550689 84.405900 180.111004
2026-03-29 0.271382 1.384936 4.962526 15.106530 39.589791 90.418980 195.533588
2026-04-05 0.235739 1.288347 4.821339 15.152370 40.665715 94.557696 207.564724
2026-04-12 0.204436 1.197459 4.679329 15.175724 41.687029 98.638749 219.680918